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Monday, Mar 31, 2025

Surge in Cocoa Prices: Challenges for the Chocolate Industry and Farmers

Global cocoa prices nearly double in 2024, driven by shortages and climate issues, impacting producers and prices worldwide.
The global cocoa market is experiencing a significant surge in prices, which have nearly doubled in 2024 compared to the previous year.

This increase poses serious challenges for the chocolate industry and the farmers who supply cocoa, a crucial ingredient in chocolate production.

Key factors contributing to this price rise include a significant shortage of cocoa beans, primarily sourced from four West African nations: Ivory Coast, Ghana, Nigeria, and Cameroon.

The cocoa swollen shoot virus (CSSV) has severely affected the 2024 harvest, with reports indicating that 81% of cocoa plantations in Ghana are now infected, severely compromising yields.

Furthermore, this viral outbreak has also spread in Ivory Coast, impacting 60% of global cocoa production.

Compounding these biological challenges is climate change, which has led to rising temperatures that adversely affect cocoa quality and harvest quantities.

Studies reveal that cocoa yields diminish significantly when temperatures reach or exceed 32°C (90°F).

Adding to the environmental stressors, the 2024 El Niño phenomenon has resulted in an unusually wet rainy season, further damaging cocoa crops in West Africa.

The impact of these factors is felt acutely across Europe, where numerous family-owned chocolatiers have shut down in response to financial strain.

Notably, German confectionery companies such as Arko and Eilles have filed for bankruptcy protection in 2024.

As cocoa prices have surged, chocolate prices for consumers have also risen, increasing by 35% since 2020. Large manufacturers in the chocolate market, however, have been able to maintain relatively stable profits, with some managing to pass increased cocoa costs onto consumers.

Swiss chocolate manufacturer Lindt & Sprüngli has acknowledged the necessity to adjust pricing due to high cocoa costs, while still reporting steady sales.

Despite these adjustments by larger companies, some experts express concern that the majority of cocoa farmers, particularly in West Africa, lack the resources to implement effective agricultural practices.

The low cocoa prices of previous years have contributed to systemic issues such as unpaid labor and child labor within the industry.

Conversely, higher cocoa prices could potentially improve the living standards for farmers, particularly in regions like Cameroon.

Industry insiders highlight that prolonged low cocoa prices have stunted farmers' ability to invest in their farms, raising pressing concerns about the sustainability of cocoa farming for future generations.

As the chocolate industry navigates this challenging landscape, there is an urgent need for investments in improved agricultural practices and the development of climate-resilient crops.

Experts caution that without such changes, volatility in cocoa prices will likely persist.
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