New survey highlights a shift in political popularity, with major implications for the upcoming elections as voter dissatisfaction grows.
As Germany prepares for crucial elections in just seven weeks, the latest Deutschlandtrend survey conducted by Infratest Dimap for ARD’s Tagesthemen and WELT introduces an unexpected twist in the nation's political landscape.
Robert Habeck, representing the Green Party, has surged as the most popular candidate for chancellor, securing 28 percent support.
This places him ahead of Friedrich Merz from the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), who trails slightly at 25 percent.
The survey paints a broader picture of dissatisfaction with Germany's political leadership, marking a notable departure from the historical precedents set by figures such as
Angela Merkel and Gerhard Schröder, who enjoyed higher approval ratings during past campaigns.
None of the leading candidates, including Sahra Wagenknecht of the Left Party and Christian Lindner of the Free Democratic Party (FDP), both at 21 percent, have managed to surpass 30 percent in popularity.
Current Chancellor Olaf Scholz from the Social Democratic Party (SPD) finds himself tied at the bottom with Alice Weidel of the Alternative for Germany (AfD), each garnering only 20 percent satisfaction.
Scholz's disapproval rating has steeply risen to 77 percent, underscoring significant challenges for his campaign, with Lindner, Weidel, and Habeck also facing considerable disapproval rates ranging from 65 to 73 percent.
In the 'Sonntagsfrage' or Sunday question, which gauges party preference if elections were held today, the CDU/CSU bloc experienced a slight decrease to 31 percent, while the AfD advanced by a point to reach 20 percent.
The SPD saw a moderate increase to 15 percent, closely following the Greens, who remain unchanged at 14 percent.
This political volatility emerges amidst serious discussions on immigration, a concern that has surged for 37 percent of respondents, especially after the New Year's Eve disturbances involving migrant youths in cities across Germany.
This concern has overshadowed economic issues, which now engage 34 percent of respondents, while topics like armed conflicts and climate change resonate with 14 and 13 percent, respectively.
Economic policy remains a point of contention among voters, with a majority supporting initiatives such as tax-free overtime bonuses and state aid for domestic investments.
However, the public is divided on matters such as the removal of CO₂ taxes and incentives for local electric car purchases.
A substantial 67 percent endorse raising the minimum wage to €15 per hour, with strong support from those aligned with the Greens, SPD, and Left Party.
The survey, based on nearly 1,300 interviews conducted from January 6 to 8 by Infratest Dimap, reflects a dynamic and multifaceted voter base.
As Germany heads towards a pivotal vote, these findings pose significant considerations for political parties and candidates.
They must recalibrate their strategies to align with voter priorities and harness emerging issues that could shape the nation's future.