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Tuesday, Feb 18, 2025

Orbán's Sanctions Veto Threat Puts EU Policy on Edge

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's stance on Russia sanctions poses a challenge to EU's unanimous decision-making process.
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán has signaled a potential veto of the European Union's sanctions against Russia, a move that could impact the bloc's unified foreign policy approach.

Initially imposed in February 2022 following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the EU sanctions encompass bans across trade, energy, finance, and asset sectors.

These measures require renewal every six months, contingent on unanimous consent from all EU member states, with the imminent deadline scheduled for January 31.

Prime Minister Orbán and his cabinet have expressed discontent over the sanctions, suggesting a need for the EU to reassess its policies due to evolving geopolitical conditions, particularly following President Donald Trump's inauguration and his subsequent advocacy for negotiations with Russia.

The prospect of Hungary's veto has raised apprehensions about the potential undermining of the EU's strategic response to Russia.

On January 26, Orbán linked his objections to the sanctions to a concurrent energy dispute, following Ukraine's cessation of Russian gas transfer to Hungary, which has irritated both Hungary and Slovakia.

In response, Orbán has urged EU intervention to support Hungary's energy requisites, interweaving energy concerns with the sanctions discussion.

Historically, Hungary has leveraged its veto power for obtaining concessions, leading to speculation that the current threat could similarly result in negotiated outcomes.

However, concern remains among diplomats regarding the cohesion of the EU sanction strategy.

The matter of sanctions is framed within broader EU dialogues, including an anticipated new sanctions package due for approval by the end of February to coincide with the third anniversary of Russia's invasion.

As tensions persist and Hungary's veto maneuver unfolds, EU representatives are preparing for a crucial foreign affairs ministers' meeting on January 29.
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