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Friday, May 09, 2025

Proposed US Tariffs Under Trump Administration Threaten German Employment

Proposed US Tariffs Under Trump Administration Threaten German Employment

Study estimates potential loss of 300,000 German jobs due to proposed US tariffs on imports.
A study conducted by the Prognos-Institut warns of significant job losses in Germany as a result of substantial tariffs on imports proposed by incoming US President Donald Trump.

The findings, reported by the Süddeutsche Zeitung, indicate that around 300,000 jobs could be at risk.

This comes as President Joe Biden prepares to transition presidential duties to his successor.

According to the study, approximately 1.2 million jobs in Germany are tied to exports to the United States, representing 10 percent of the 12 million German jobs that depend on international exports.

This figure surpasses the number of German jobs reliant on exports to China by 400,000.

In recent years, the portion of Germany's export activity dedicated to the United States has grown, in contrast to a decline in exports to China.

During his campaign, Trump pledged to impose tariffs of at least 60 percent on Chinese imports, alongside tariffs between 10 and 20 percent on imports from other nations.

The Institute for Macroeconomic Policy (IMK) forecasts that the enactment of these tariffs, alongside potential retaliatory measures, could cost Germany up to 300,000 jobs.

The IMK notes that even if tariffs are applied at the lower end of the spectrum, about 200,000 German jobs could still be impacted.

Bloomberg has reported on potential strategies being considered by the incoming administration, suggesting a gradual monthly tariff increase of 2 to 5 percent may be in the preliminary planning stages.

These possible changes underscore Germany's deep economic ties with the United States and raise concerns about the stability of job markets reliant on international trade amidst evolving global trade policies.
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