With polls showing a dip in support, the CDU leader navigates scrutiny and competition from the far-right AfD.
As Germany prepares for its upcoming national election, Friedrich Merz, leader of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), confronts significant challenges amid shifting political dynamics.
Recent polling indicates a decline in the CDU’s support, with the party dropping below 30% in a YouGov poll for the first time since mid-2024. This trend has raised concerns within the CDU as scrutiny intensifies ahead of the vote.
Merz’s campaign has faced both internal and external pressures.
Within his party, there have been reports of dissatisfaction regarding campaign strategies.
Publicly, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) is gaining momentum, as noted by outgoing CDU lawmaker Thomas Heilmann, who remarked that the AfD is the only party currently showing significant growth.
Merz, 69, returned to the forefront of German politics in 2018, a decade after stepping back during
Angela Merkel's chancellorship.
He is seen by some as reminiscent of the CDU leadership under Helmut Kohl.
Despite traditionalist support within the party, Merz's cautious campaign approach has faced criticism, akin to that of UK Labour leader Keir Starmer.
The far-right AfD has capitalized on the current political climate.
Co-leader Alice Weidel has garnered attention with her unconventional background and strong social media presence.
The AfD's polling surpassing 20% presents a considerable challenge to the CDU and other mainstream parties.
Nonetheless, Merz is a key figure in coalition discussions, with possible alliances involving the Social Democrats and Greens.
Merz's strategy aims to avoid controversial positions, leaving room for other parties to gain public attention.
Despite this, he has sought to maintain stability within the CDU and presents the party as a credible governing force within Germany's evolving political landscape.
The CDU’s electoral performance will likely influence both post-election coalition negotiations and broader policymaking discussions.
Globally, Germany’s election bears considerable significance within the European Union.
Domestic shifts in political alignment may influence policy directions across the EU. The AfD's rise and internal CDU divisions highlight potential changes in Germany's role in European leadership and policy-making in future years.
This report is based on verified information, with additional insights provided by Jonathan Packroff.