Negotiations conclude ahead of the chancellorship vote as the new coalition prepares for governance.
On May 5, 2025, the political landscape in Germany is set for a significant change as the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), the Christian Social Union (CSU), and the Social Democratic Party (SPD) prepare to finalize their coalition agreement.
This coalition marks the fifth instance of a so-called 'black-red' alliance in the history of the Federal Republic.
As the leaders of all three parties convene to formalize the agreement, several key appointments are still pending.
The SPD has announced that party leader Lars Klingbeil will serve as Vice-Chancellor and Finance Minister, while Boris Pistorius is confirmed as Defense Minister.
Both serve the important role of representing Niedersachsen within the new government.
In a notable shift, the SPD has yet to finalize its cabinet positions fully, with speculation surrounding the potential inclusion of several figures.
The only male representation alongside Klingbeil and Pistorius is expected to be Carsten Schneider, the former Eastern Commissioner from Thüringen, who has been linked to the Environment Ministry.
The SPD is striving for a balanced cabinet, proposing four female ministers and three male ministers.
Bärbel Bas, the President of the Bundestag, is anticipated as the new Minister of Labor, taking over from Hubertus Heil, who recently opted out of leadership considerations for the party's parliamentary faction.
Education Minister Stefanie Hubig from Rheinland-Pfalz has been identified for the Justice Ministry, while Verena Hubertz, the deputy faction leader, is considered for either the position of Minister of Building or as the new party secretary.
The future of party chair Saskia Esken remains uncertain.
Sources suggest she may not transition into a ministerial role, possibly leaving her position intact for internal party leadership battles.
Reem Alabali-Radovan, the former integration officer, is speculated to take over the Development Ministry if Esken does move out.
At this juncture, the CDU and CSU have experienced fewer internal disputes regarding personnel.
In the elections for party leadership taking place later in the day, Jens Spahn is poised to succeed Friedrich Merz as the new CDU leader.
Spahn brings over two decades of experience in the Bundestag and previously served as Health Minister during the
COVID-19 pandemic.
Meanwhile, CSU deputies are expected to elect Alexander Hoffmann as their new chairman, succeeding Alexander Dobrindt, who is set to assume the role of Interior Minister.
The CSU holds 44 of the 208 seats occupied by Union members in the Bundestag.
The coalition agreement will be ceremonially signed at noon, formalizing the partnership between the three parties.
Historically, such coalitions were referred to as 'Große Koalition' due to their significant control of parliamentary seats; currently, the coalition commands only 52% of the Bundestag.
The newly termed 'Arbeitskoalition', as called by Merz, faces its first major test shortly after the agreement is finalized.
Merz requires a majority of 316 votes in a secret ballot to secure the chancellorship, with 328 members from the Union and SPD available to vote.
Despite the slim margin, Merz's election is viewed as likely, positioning the new government to begin its term precisely six months after the breakdown of the previous coalition government.