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Monday, Jan 26, 2026

Poland delays euro adoption as Domański cites $1tn economy and zloty advantage

Poland delays euro adoption as Domański cites $1tn economy and zloty advantage

Poland’s budget deficit is forecast to narrow to 6.3% of GDP in 2026, still above the 3% threshold tied to euro entry criteria.
Poland is moving to delay adoption of the euro as its government argues the country’s stronger-than-peers performance makes retaining the zloty the better option for now, a stance set out in comments by Finance Minister Andrzej Domański and reinforced by a shift from Prime Minister Donald Tusk.

Domański said Poland’s economy is now doing better than most euro-area countries and that accumulating data and research strengthens the case for monetary independence, positioning the zloty as a tool to preserve national control over economic policy.

Tusk’s position marks a reversal from his first term in office: in 2008 he backed adopting the single currency in 2012, a target that was later abandoned after the euro debt crisis and amid resistance from the right-wing Law and Justice party, which framed the zloty as central to national sovereignty.

While European Union rules obligate member states to adopt the euro once they meet specified criteria, Domański emphasized that the decision ultimately rests with Poland’s government, underscoring a political choice layered on top of technical convergence benchmarks.

Poland’s fiscal position remains a core constraint: the budget deficit is projected to narrow to 6.3% of GDP in 2026 from about 6.8% the prior year, but that would still be more than double the 3% convergence threshold, one of the fiscal criteria required for euro membership.

Confirmed vs unclear: What we can confirm is Poland’s government is delaying euro adoption while arguing the zloty better fits its current economic conditions / What’s still unclear is any timetable for when Warsaw would seek to meet the euro entry criteria and move toward the single currency.

The government points to scale and momentum as justification: Poland became a $1 trillion economy last year, ranking as the world’s 20th largest under the latest IMF calculations, and the OECD forecasts growth of 3.4% this year, the fastest pace among EU countries covered in its December report.

Domański argued public finances have recently improved alongside a strong labour market that has produced one of the lowest unemployment rates in the EU, adding that rising wages are translating into higher tax contributions.

Domestic politics also sits in the backdrop as President Karol Nawrocki has vetoed budget-related legislation and raised constitutional challenges, even as Domański said relations between the government and the central bank have stabilised after Tusk previously threatened to bring the governor before a state tribunal.

The government is also tying its posture to broader ambitions, citing an invitation from the Trump administration for Poland to attend this year’s G20 meeting in Miami as an observer while it aims for a larger global profile, even as other EU states such as Bulgaria have moved to join the euro area.
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